How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Most likely right now
6
–40%
PoliticsVol $18Total volume $25KLiquidity $21Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
6
39.5%
–
≤5
26.0%
▼2.5
7
12.5%
▼0.5
10+
9.45%
▲0.8
9
9.30%
–
8
3.65%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
