How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "6" at 59.5% on "How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?". Down 6.0%p from yesterday. $319 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
6
▼6.060%
PoliticsVol $319Total volume $41KLiquidity $45Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
6
59.5%
▼6.0
7
27.5%
▲0.5
8
5.25%
–
10+
0.90%
–
9
0.75%
–
≤5
0.55%
–
Probability over time
6
7
8
10+
9
≤5
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
