How many UKMTO notices November 2–8?

Polymarket traders put "4-7" at 61.0% on "How many UKMTO notices November 2–8?". $200 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 9.

Most likely right now
4-7
–61%
PoliticsVol $200Total volume $200Liquidity $280in 11 days (Nov 9)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
4-7
61.0%
–
<4
42.0%
–
16+
13.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.