Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?" at 9.5%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $142 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
1.510%
PoliticsVol $142Total volume $142Liquidity $520in 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
9.50%
1.5

Probability over time

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
02550751009/49/79/109/139/169/199/21
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.