Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 29.5% on "Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $54 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
▼2.530%
PoliticsVol $54Total volume $4.0KLiquidity $294in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
29.5%
▼2.5
December 31
29.5%
▼1.0

Probability over time

November 30
December 31
02550751009/69/189/3010/1210/2411/511/12
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-11-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.