Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 61.0% on "Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?". Down 12.0%p from yesterday. $641 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼12.061%
PoliticsVol $641Total volume $641Liquidity $1.0Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
61.0%
▼12.0
November 30
50.0%
▼0.5
October 31
10.5%
▼38.0
September 30
8.50%
▼7.5

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
September 30
02550751009/69/109/149/189/229/26
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-09-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.