Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 19.5% on "Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
20%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.6KLiquidity $89Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
19.5%
Republican 25-30%
18.5%
Republican 15-20%
15.0%
Republican 10-15%
11.5%
Republican 30-35%
9.00%
Republican 5-10%
8.00%
Republican 35-40%
7.50%
Republican 40%+
6.00%
Independent Wins
4.50%
Republican 0-5%
4.30%
Democrat Wins
0.90%

Probability over time

Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 5-10%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.