Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 25.5% on "Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲1.026%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $11KLiquidity $114Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
25.5%
▲1.0
Republican 10-15%
16.0%
▼5.0
Republican 20-25%
14.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
13.5%
▲3.0
Republican 5-10%
8.00%
▼0.5
Republican 0-5%
7.35%
▼11.1
Independent Wins
6.00%
▲2.1
Republican 35-40%
3.75%
–
Republican 40%+
2.55%
–
Democrat Wins
2.35%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
1.85%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
