IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-10%" at 27.5% on "IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $134 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-10%
▲1.028%
PoliticsVol $134Total volume $134Liquidity $2.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-10%
27.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
27.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 40-45%
26.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 10-20%
25.0%
▼5.5
Democrat 30-35%
24.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 20-25%
22.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 45-50%
21.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 50%+
19.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 35-40%
19.0%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
17.0%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 10-20%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
