IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 27.4% on "IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
–27%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $16KLiquidity $93Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
27.4%
–
Democrat 30-35%
20.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
14.6%
▼0.9
Democrat 45-50%
10.9%
▲5.1
Democrat 10-20%
7.05%
▼3.0
Democrat 20-25%
3.80%
▼1.8
Democrat 40-45%
2.60%
▼4.7
Democrat 0-10%
1.60%
▼0.7
Republican Wins
1.45%
–
Democrat 50%+
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 10-20%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
