IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 27.0% on "IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▼0.527%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $20KLiquidity $115Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
27.0%
▼0.5
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
▼7.5
Republican 25-30%
16.5%
▼9.0
Republican 45-50%
12.4%
–
Republican 40-45%
11.1%
▲6.5
Democrat Wins
4.45%
▲0.5
Republican 10-20%
3.90%
▲0.7
Republican 0-10%
3.85%
–
Republican 20-25%
2.90%
–
Republican 50%+
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 40-45%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
