Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 21.5% on "Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼2.522%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.9KLiquidity $63Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
21.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 20-25%
21.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 15-20%
16.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 10-15%
10.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 30-35%
10.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 5-10%
5.25%
▲1.3
Democrat 0-5%
4.50%
–
Democrat 35%+
3.95%
▲1.1
Republican Wins
2.15%
▼1.8
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
