Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Polymarket traders put "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?" at 40.0%. Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
▲9.540%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $33KLiquidity $793in 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
40.0%
▲9.5

Probability over time

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
02550751009/49/129/209/2810/610/1410/20
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-20 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.