Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Polymarket traders put "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?" at 37.5%. $324 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
38%
PoliticsVol $324Total volume $324Liquidity $1.0Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
37.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.