Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
Polymarket traders put "Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?" at 29.5%. Down 18.0%p from yesterday. $38 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
▼18.030%
PoliticsVol $38Total volume $38Liquidity $21Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
29.5%
▼18.0
Probability over time
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
2026-10-30 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %
