Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 21.0% on "Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $15K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲3.521%
PoliticsVol $15KTotal volume $3.5MLiquidity $71KComments 45in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
21.0%
▲3.5
October 31
8.50%
▲2.0

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.