Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 44.5% on "Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?". $47K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–45%
PoliticsVol $47KTotal volume $2.6MLiquidity $188KComments 20in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
44.5%
–
October 31
33.5%
▼2.5
September 30
15.5%
▼3.5
August 31
3.50%
▼0.9
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
September 30
August 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
