Iran invades Kuwait by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 3.5% on "Iran invades Kuwait by...?". Unchanged from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–4%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $1.1MLiquidity $70KComments 11in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
3.55%
–
October 31
0.80%
–
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
