Iran leader end of 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Mojtaba Khamenei" at 87.5% on "Iran leader end of 2026?". Down 0.6%p from yesterday. $69K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 30 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Mojtaba Khamenei
▼0.687%
PoliticsVol $69KTotal volume $40.1MLiquidity $2.3MComments 156in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mojtaba Khamenei
87.5%
▼0.6
No Head of State
4.45%
▼1.2
Reza Pahlavi
2.55%
–
Alireza Arafi
0.85%
–
Hassan Rouhani
0.60%
–
Maryam Rajavi
0.50%
–
Masoud Pezeshkian
0.40%
–
Abbas Araghchi
0.35%
–
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
0.35%
–
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
0.30%
–
Hassan Khomeini
0.25%
–
Ahmad Vahidi
0.25%
–
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
0.15%
–
Sadegh Larijani
0.15%
–
Massoud Rajavi
0.10%
–
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
0.10%
–
Reza Pirzadeh
0.10%
–
Saeed Jalili
0.10%
–
Mohsen Araki
0.10%
–
Hassan Shariatmadari
0.05%
–
Navid Shomali
0.05%
–
Mustafa Hijri
0.05%
–
Ali Motahari
0.05%
–
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
0.05%
–
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0.05%
–
Sadegh Mahsouli
0.05%
–
Mohammad Khatami
0.05%
–
Nasir Hosseini
0.05%
–
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
0.05%
–
Ali Asghar Hejazi
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Mojtaba Khamenei
No Head of State
Reza Pahlavi
Alireza Arafi
Hassan Rouhani
Maryam Rajavi
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
