Iran leader end of 2026?
Most likely right now
Mojtaba Khamenei
–82%
PoliticsVol $12KTotal volume $38.8MLiquidity $2.7MComments 155in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mojtaba Khamenei
82.2%
–
No Head of State
4.05%
–
Reza Pahlavi
2.70%
–
Alireza Arafi
1.65%
–
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1.20%
–
Hassan Rouhani
0.75%
–
Ahmad Vahidi
0.70%
–
Hassan Khomeini
0.60%
–
Masoud Pezeshkian
0.60%
–
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
0.55%
–
Abbas Araghchi
0.40%
–
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
0.35%
–
Sadegh Larijani
0.20%
–
Hassan Shariatmadari
0.15%
–
Maryam Rajavi
0.15%
–
Massoud Rajavi
0.15%
–
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
0.15%
–
Reza Pirzadeh
0.15%
–
Navid Shomali
0.15%
–
Mustafa Hijri
0.15%
–
Ali Motahari
0.15%
–
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
0.15%
–
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0.15%
–
Sadegh Mahsouli
0.15%
–
Saeed Jalili
0.15%
–
Mohammad Khatami
0.15%
–
Mohsen Araki
0.15%
–
Nasir Hosseini
0.15%
–
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
0.15%
–
Ali Asghar Hejazi
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
