Iran leadership change by...?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 22.5% on "Iran leadership change by...?". $97K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
–23%
PoliticsVol $97KTotal volume $27.2MLiquidity $413KComments 1,091in 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
22.5%
–
December 31
11.5%
–
November 30
6.50%
▲0.5
October 31
1.65%
▼0.8
Probability over time
June 30, 2027
December 31
November 30
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
