Iran leadership change by...?

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
25%
PoliticsVol $17KTotal volume $24.0MLiquidity $498KComments 1,094in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
24.5%
December 31
15.5%
November 30
9.50%
October 31
6.50%
0.5
September 30
3.45%
August 31
0.45%
August 22
0.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.