Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Iran nuclear test before 2027?" at 3.8%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
–4%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $267KLiquidity $46Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
3.80%
–
Probability over time
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
