Iran successfully targets shipping by...?

Polymarket traders put "August 31" at 57.0% on "Iran successfully targets shipping by...?". $5.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.

Most likely right now
August 31
57%
PoliticsVol $5.8KTotal volume $5.8KLiquidity $1.9Kin 6 days (Aug 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
August 31
57.0%
August 26
18.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.