Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Polymarket traders put "Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?" at 44.0%. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
–44%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $10Liquidity $364in 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
44.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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