Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?" at 10.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $15 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
0.510%
PoliticsVol $15Total volume $236KLiquidity $24Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
10.0%
0.5

Probability over time

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.