Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "<4" at 72.5% on "Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $281 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
<4
▲4.073%
PoliticsVol $281Total volume $16KLiquidity $58KComments 3in 7 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<4
72.5%
▲4.0
4-6
27.5%
▼3.5
7-9
0.55%
–
10+
0.05%
▼0.5

Probability over time

<4
4-6
7-9
10+
02550751009/69/149/229/3010/810/1610/21
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.