Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "8-9" at 47.0% on "Israel Election: Dems # of seats?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $642 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
8-9
▲2.047%
PoliticsVol $642Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $20Kin 7 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
8-9
47.0%
▲2.0
10-11
28.5%
▲1.0
12-13
28.3%
▲4.7
<8
12.0%
▼2.0
14+
5.75%
▲0.9

Probability over time

8-9
10-11
12-13
<8
14+
02550751009/69/149/229/3010/810/1610/21
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.