Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "8-9" at 35.0% on "Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $326 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
8-9
▲1.535%
PoliticsVol $326Total volume $10KLiquidity $93Kin 7 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
8-9
35.0%
▲1.5
6-7
33.5%
▼0.5
10+
26.0%
▲3.5
4-5
6.00%
▼4.5
<4
1.80%
▼1.8

Probability over time

8-9
6-7
10+
4-5
<4
02550751009/69/149/229/3010/810/1610/21
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.