Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

Polymarket traders put "4.5-5.5%" at 37.0% on "Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $79 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
4.5-5.5%
9.537%
PoliticsVol $79Total volume $79Liquidity $534in 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
4.5-5.5%
37.0%
9.5
6.5-7.5%
33.5%
11.5
5.5-6.5%
32.5%
11.0
7.5%+
28.5%
16.0
<4.5%
27.0%
1.5

Probability over time

4.5-5.5%
6.5-7.5%
5.5-6.5%
7.5%+
<4.5%
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.