Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

Polymarket traders put "5-6%" at 39.5% on "Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $293 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
5-6%
1.540%
PoliticsVol $293Total volume $293Liquidity $11Kin 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5-6%
39.5%
1.5
3.25-4%
35.5%
8.5
4-5%
34.5%
6.5
<3.25%
12.5%
31.0
6%+
11.5%
33.5

Probability over time

5-6%
3.25-4%
4-5%
<3.25%
6%+
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.