Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

Polymarket traders put "<2.75%" at 40.0% on "Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?". Up 15.0%p from yesterday. $74 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
<2.75%
15.040%
PoliticsVol $74Total volume $74Liquidity $750in 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<2.75%
40.0%
15.0
2.75-3.25%
28.5%
2.0
3.75-4.25%
23.5%
20.5
4.25%+
22.5%
3.5
3.25-3.75%
16.0%
37.0

Probability over time

<2.75%
2.75-3.25%
3.75-4.25%
4.25%+
3.25-3.75%
02550751009/109/11
2026-09-10 ~ 2026-09-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.