Israel Election: Shas vote share?

Polymarket traders put "<6%" at 56.0% on "Israel Election: Shas vote share?". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. $19 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
<6%
11.556%
PoliticsVol $19Total volume $19Liquidity $639in 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<6%
56.0%
11.5
9%+
38.5%
5.0
6-7%
34.0%
10.5
8-9%
34.0%
9.5
7-8%
26.5%
17.0

Probability over time

<6%
9%+
6-7%
8-9%
7-8%
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.