Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

Polymarket traders put "5.5-6.5%" at 38.0% on "Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. $300 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
5.5-6.5%
11.538%
PoliticsVol $300Total volume $300Liquidity $956in 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5.5-6.5%
38.0%
11.5
7.5%+
28.5%
16.5
4.5-5.5%
22.0%
6.0
6.5-7.5%
21.0%
5.5
<4.5%
19.5%
19.0

Probability over time

5.5-6.5%
7.5%+
4.5-5.5%
6.5-7.5%
<4.5%
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.