Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

Polymarket traders put "4-4.75%" at 32.0% on "Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?". Down 11.5%p from yesterday. $966 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
4-4.75%
11.532%
PoliticsVol $966Total volume $966Liquidity $11Kin 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
4-4.75%
32.0%
11.5
3.25-4%
27.5%
17.0
4.75-5.5%
13.0%
14.0
<3.25%
12.0%
32.5
5.5%+
7.50%
37.0

Probability over time

4-4.75%
3.25-4%
4.75-5.5%
<3.25%
5.5%+
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.