Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "26-27" at 22.5% on "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $538 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
26-27
2.523%
PoliticsVol $538Total volume $538Liquidity $46Kin 3 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Sep 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
26-27
22.5%
2.5
24-25
19.5%
6.5
30+
17.0%
10.0
28-29
15.0%
11.0
20-21
14.5%
11.5
<20
12.0%
16.0
22-23
11.5%
16.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.