Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "22-23" at 29.0% on "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $143 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
22-23
▲0.529%
PoliticsVol $143Total volume $22KLiquidity $30Kin 6 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
22-23
29.0%
▲0.5
28-29
22.0%
▲3.1
20-21
18.5%
▲4.0
26-27
15.5%
▼2.5
24-25
15.0%
–
<20
11.9%
▼4.5
30+
5.95%
–

Probability over time

22-23
28-29
20-21
26-27
24-25
<20
02550751009/69/149/229/3010/810/1610/21
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.