Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

Polymarket traders put "16-18%" at 36.5% on "Israel Election: Yashar vote share?". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. $37 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
16-18%
12.037%
PoliticsVol $37Total volume $37Liquidity $1.8Kin 3 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
16-18%
36.5%
12.0
18-20%
34.5%
1.0
22-24%
33.0%
6.0
24%+
30.0%
2.5
20-22%
28.5%
3.5
<16%
16.5%
16.0

Probability over time

16-18%
18-20%
22-24%
24%+
20-22%
<16%
02550751009/99/109/11
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.