Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
–17%
PoliticsVol $1.7KTotal volume $1.7MLiquidity $31KComments 63in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
17.0%
–
August 31
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
