Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
Polymarket traders put "Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?" at 7.5%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.58%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $1.8MLiquidity $14KComments 62in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
7.50%
▼0.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
