Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Polymarket traders put "Israel military action against Beirut by...?" at 8.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
October 31
▲0.59%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $416KLiquidity $15KComments 10in 20 days (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
8.50%
▲0.5

Probability over time

October 31
02550751009/39/109/179/2410/110/810/11
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.