Israel military action against Syria by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 44.0% on "Israel military action against Syria by...?". $11K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 30
44%
PoliticsVol $11KTotal volume $11KLiquidity $18Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
44.0%
September 15
27.0%
August 31
15.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.