Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 24.5% on "Israel military action against Yemen by...?". $188 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
–25%
PoliticsVol $188Total volume $328KLiquidity $14KComments 4in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
24.5%
–
October 31
4.25%
▼1.8

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751009/189/229/269/3010/410/810/9
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.