Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 34.0% on "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $244 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▼0.534%
PoliticsVol $244Total volume $8.5MLiquidity $93KComments 220in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
34.0%
▼0.5
June 30, 2027
31.5%
–
March 31, 2027
22.5%
▲5.0
December 31
5.65%
–
Probability over time
December 31, 2027
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
