Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
▲10.535%
PoliticsVol $628Total volume $2.9MLiquidity $20KComments 357in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
34.5%
▲10.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
