Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?

Polymarket traders put "Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?" at 62.0%. Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $318 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
▲9.562%
PoliticsVol $318Total volume $318Liquidity $21Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
62.0%
▲9.5

Probability over time

Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
025507510010/2210/23
2026-10-22 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.