Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 25.0% on "Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)". $26 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 30
–25%
PoliticsVol $26Total volume $25KLiquidity $267Comments 1in 1 months (Dec 1)
Current probability
Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 30
25.0%
–
October 31
6.00%
–
Probability over time
November 30
October 31
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %
