Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 30.5% on "Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $5.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲2.531%
PoliticsVol $5.6KTotal volume $677KLiquidity $68KComments 14in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
30.5%
▲2.5
October 31
1.15%
▼0.7
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-09-16 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %
