Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 18.0% on "Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)". $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
18%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $32Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
18.0%
October 31
10.5%
September 30
4.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.