Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Polymarket traders put "March 31" at 22.0% on "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?". $190 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 1.

Most likely right now
March 31
–22%
PoliticsVol $190Total volume $1.4MLiquidity $41KComments 26Closed (Sep 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31
22.0%
–
December 31
4.50%
–
October 31
2.00%
–

Probability over time

March 31
December 31
October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.