Israeli Legislative Election: % of Vote Below Threshold
Polymarket traders put "<4%" at 30.5% on "Israeli Legislative Election: % of Vote Below Threshold". $125 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.
Most likely right now
<4%
–31%
PoliticsVol $125Total volume $125Liquidity $10Kin 8 days (Oct 28)
Current probability
Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
<4%
30.5%
–
4-6%
30.0%
–
6-8%
12.5%
–
8%+
10.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
