Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?" at 83.5%. Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $304 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
▲5.584%
PoliticsVol $304Total volume $304Liquidity $12Kin 6 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
83.5%
▲5.5

Probability over time

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
025507510010/710/8
2026-10-07 ~ 2026-10-08 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.