Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 29.5% on "Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $512 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼3.030%
PoliticsVol $512Total volume $512Liquidity $11Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
29.5%
▼3.0
October 31
17.0%
▼4.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.