Kash Patel out by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 19.5% on "Kash Patel out by...?". $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–20%
PoliticsVol $2.7KTotal volume $1.8MLiquidity $36KComments 143in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
19.5%
–
October 31
2.50%
–

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.