Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 5.5% on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $52K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.06%
PoliticsVol $52KTotal volume $75.6MLiquidity $441KComments 522in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
5.50%
▼1.0
October 31
1.35%
–
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
