LA-01 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Republican Party" at 96.3% on "LA-01 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican Party
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $53KLiquidity $63Kin 12 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Party
96.3%
–
Democratic Party
3.90%
–

Probability over time

Republican Party
Democratic Party
02550751008/259/89/179/2610/510/1410/19
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.