Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Polymarket traders put "Lai Ching-te impeached by...?" at 3.0%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
3%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.4MLiquidity $9.6Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
3.05%

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.