Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?" at 3.8%. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
–4%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $106KLiquidity $17KComments 7in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
3.75%
–
Probability over time
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
