Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?" at 11.5%. Up 0.9%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
▲0.912%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $107KLiquidity $1.6KComments 7in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
11.5%
▲0.9

Probability over time

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.