Launceston Mayoral Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Matthew Garwood" at 53.5% on "Launceston Mayoral Election Winner". $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.
Most likely right now
Matthew Garwood
–54%
PoliticsVol $2.0KTotal volume $2.0KLiquidity $19Kin 2 months (Oct 28)
Current probability
Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Matthew Garwood
53.5%
–
Kyle Barrett
29.5%
▲9.0
Tim Walker
8.50%
▼9.5
Paul Mallett
2.25%
▼17.3
Rose Diamond
2.05%
▼20.0
Probability over time
Matthew Garwood
Kyle Barrett
Tim Walker
Paul Mallett
Rose Diamond
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-05 · y-axis %
