Launceston Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Matthew Garwood" at 60.5% on "Launceston Mayoral Election Winner". $48 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Matthew Garwood
–61%
PoliticsVol $48Total volume $13KLiquidity $80Kin 7 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Matthew Garwood
60.5%
–
Kyle Barrett
20.0%
–
Paul Mallett
3.45%
▼0.6
Rose Diamond
2.80%
–
Tim Walker
2.80%
▲1.1

Probability over time

Matthew Garwood
Kyle Barrett
Paul Mallett
Rose Diamond
Tim Walker
02550751009/49/129/209/2810/610/1410/21
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.