Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Guy Cormier" at 68.0% on "Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner". $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 7.

Most likely right now
Guy Cormier
–68%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $4Liquidity $1.1Kin 1 months (Dec 7)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Guy Cormier
68.0%
–
Nimâ Machouf
23.5%
–
Zumretay Arkin
20.0%
–
Mathieu Fournier
14.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.