Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Polymarket traders put "April 17, 2027" at 14.8% on "Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?". Up 0.9%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 17.

Most likely right now
April 17, 2027
0.915%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.0KLiquidity $23KComments 6in 8 months (Apr 17)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
April 17, 2027
14.8%
0.9
December 31, 2026
5.50%

Probability over time

April 17, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.