Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Polymarket traders put "April 17, 2027" at 35.9% on "Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?". Down 3.6%p from yesterday. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 17.

Most likely right now
April 17, 2027
▼3.636%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $6.6KLiquidity $12KComments 6in 6 months (Apr 17)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
April 17, 2027
35.9%
▼3.6
December 31, 2026
8.00%
▲0.5

Probability over time

April 17, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.